Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Pan Atlantic: Collins +21

As expected, Pan Atlantic SMS produces a result that puts Collins ahead by a margin larger than anything we've seen in a while:

Rep. Tom Allen (D): 36 (31)

Sen. Susan Collins (R): 57 (56)

The numbers in parenthesis refer to Pan Atlantic results released in July. And that's actually the last time we saw a margin this large.

To put it in perspective: Except for a single Republican poll released in March, Pan Atlantic is the only pollster to put Collins up by 20 points even one time this year.

The company doesn't release its internals. But the poll also shows Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) doing better in CD-02 than CD-01. And I don't think anyone (including other pollsters) expect things to turn out that way. So make of that what you will.

Look: Pan Atlantic may be on the money. But if they are, it means just about everyone else has it wrong. Very wrong.

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